THE PLAN: Randwick with a +9M rail and a Good 4 – Fine conditions.
9M rail traditionally the one pace – closer to the fence setup – course has had a bit of racing – but still prefer to be up there on speed rather than back and swooping – especially in a couple of races that look completely devoid of speed.
R2 #1 Nothing Box – #6 Speed Hero – Three strong chances for mine and have to bet around Bastia at the short offs with the Synthetic Hoof Filler applied. Nothing Box should get on speed and run a huge race here – the one to beat. Speed Hero the improver – back on top of the ground with the rider change and soft gate.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 3.75 Units Nothing Box @ Best of the Best – 2.25 Units Speed Hero @ $9.50 with various – happy to take $8.50 with Bet365.
R5 #1 Jaunty – #9 Regine – Think Jaunty is possibly better than these – question over where she will be in the run and the apprentice – so not betting heavily. Regine gets the blinkers and Shinn – saving on it for a small result.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 2.5 units Jaunty @ $4.80 with Bet365 or Best of the Best – 1.5 Units Regine @ Best of the Best.
R6 #2 Broadside – Just think he ticks all boxes today for the first time this preparation and is extremely well setup – very surprised if not in the finish.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 4 Units @ $2.40 with Bet365
R7 #2 Pedway – #9 From Within – #10 Goldfinch – Three horse play as got tied up in knots a bit – throwing Niccobelle in quinellas also. Goldfinch is VERY fast and happy to take a leap of faith with her first up – could just be too quick. Pedway has had time to get over the first up run – should get outside the leader – if Goldfinch doesn’t tear away – he should be right there. From Within the wildcard – love the play back to 1000m at this level – she is enigmatic – but has ability and upside.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 1 Unit Pedway @ Best of the Best – 1.5 Units From Within @ $10 with Bet365 or Best of the Best – 3.5 Units Goldfinch @ $7 with UNIBET and UBET or Best of the Best (could firm early if on pace bias) – Happy to take $6.50+ if that looks the case after a race or two.
R#6 Tinker Dan – #7 Fleeting Stryke – Going a little win in the last. Also suggesting a quinella with the favourite as a saver. Tinker Dan is airborne – needs luck in running – should be strong late. Fleeting Stryke will also need luck from the gate, underrated and can poke through at odds. Smartedge just has the upside and should get the right run to be in the finish.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 2 Units Tinker Dan @ $13 with Sportsbet – Happy to take $11+ / 1 Unit Fleeting Stryke @ $20 with Sportsbet – Happy to take $18+ / Quinella Smartedge-Tinker Dan – Fleeting Stryke for 1 Unit