THE PLAN: Hope everyone had a great day off yesterday for Christmas! Back to regular proceedings today. Randwick presents a Good 4 with the Rail +3M. Some concern that the track played like “Old Randwick” last time – assuming with the re-laying of the Kensington track – that the fence will go back to off and you will want to be 5-6 off the inside (3-4 off today). Just off pace and in the running line the preferred positions.
Sheets attached – one small addition – CONFIDENCE LEVEL
CONFIDENCE LEVEL will be measured out by percentage. This will simply be a guide to the confidence in my market. The more queries over fitness, tactics and the race overall – the lower the confidence level. The higher – the more I believe my market to be correct. Hopefully helps with those punters looking to bet race to race.
Unfortunately not a day of great value – especially without a pattern being established. There does look to be a bit of possible value around late in the program. So will send through an update if required.
R3 #8 Nonpareil – This mare resumes from a standard spell – better known for her efforts over 1200-1300m – however does have very solid short course and fresh form. Test The World, Miss Debutante, My True Love and Spright form is certainly good enough to measure up here. Hopefully see her out the back early and tracking into the race turning for home – should be strongest late with those on pace a touch vulnerable.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 3 Units @ $3.60 with UNIBET / $3.50 with TAB or Best of the Best – Betting is hard to predict in this one. Plus use in Multi.
R7: 4 / 5-9-10-14 (Second set of numbers play very small – knockout leg only – Montreal the banker)
R2 #3 Nacho Libre – Just looks a great default bet here – finally setup to win and finds the ideal race to do so. Makeadane the only other runner that brings form with any sort of strength to it. No Effort Needed is a horse that needs to be stood over and gets the apprentice. Fancy Nickers is a 1200m horse. Should run extremely well here.
SUGGESTED BETTING: Use in Multi
Nonpareil / Nacho Libre – 2 Units @ Approx $9