THE PLAN: Kempsey and Bathurst today. Both dry surfaces and looks a few interesting races. PLaying at both venues.
Kempsey always an advantage to be nearer the inside in running – tight track that is hard to sit wide and win on.
Bathurst should be reasonably fair – but again – on pace an advantage. ates to follow if required.
R1 #5 Kyoto ($3) – Expected this runner to come up closer to favourite here. Solid first up over the 900m when really only warming up late. Straight to 1200m second up and against chased hard – beaten by two fast enough horses who would be dominant favourites here for mine. Draws to hold the front this time – peaks fitness wise and gets the services of Josh Adams – should give a bold sight. Scared of Billy Can – blinkers on drops solidly in grade from a provincial race last start – just hoping that Kyoto has the better fitness base to be too strong late.
SUGGESTED BETTING: Use in Multi
R4 #10 I Am Twisted ($3.50) – #12 One Invincible Cat ($2.50) – These two runners look superior here. Strong leaning to One Invincible Cat with the run under her belt – awkwardly away last start before squeezed right out of the race – she then got a decent run through – but the track and fence was on fire that day and her effort to still be strong late was excellent – looks to have come back stronger and should box seat at worst this time around. I Am Twisted has had a few tries and never strong late – if she found the front here early – will give a sight.
SUGGESTED BETTING: Use in Multi – If Kyoto is beaten – then the play is 4 Units Invincible Cat – Currently $2.70 with Bet365 – Happy to take $2.50+
Kyoto / I Am Twisted – 1U
Kyoto / One Invincible Cat – 2U
R6 #5 Praise Songs ($5.50) – #11 Cool One ($2.75) – Quite keen on the chances of Cool One here – two runs back have both been very strong and perfect fitness builders for this further distance today in softer grade. Got caught chasing a solid tempo first up over the 1300m and they can time there – chased a smart enough type in vain and beat the rest comfortably. Up to 1500m second up and given a terrible ride – caught wide before pressing for the lead inexplicably – beaten a long way there – but it was a big margin winner in fast time and horse that just got past it has run well since – draws gate 1 today and should get a soft run in transit. Praise Songs is the other improver – two runs back have been solid in unsuitable races – slow tempos against both times – last time he stayed in clearly the worst going – appreciates the step up in distance and looks the value runner. Scared of Cowboy Hour – but she is now at her 6th run into her first preparation and just stopped a little be too quickly late last start.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 4.5 Units Cool One @ $4.20 with Bet365 or Best Tote/SP (Could get back out late) – 1.5 Units Praise Songs $8 with NSWTAB or Best Tote/SP