THE PLAN: Quirindi and Goulburn today – polar opposites track wise – Quirindi is tight and downhill in parts. Goulburn big and open – can win from anywhere (pace depending). Two plays at this stage. If any pattern comes into play – further selections may be added.
R2 #1 Cradle Mountain – There looks two obvious choices here. Thrilled comes up favourite – not every chance last time after chasing home a smart enough horse two starts back – imagine they come for this bloke again despite the awkward draw. Cradle Mountain resumes (gives away fitness to Thrilled) off the back of two short course trials – was very green in his first preparation – but showed signs of quality. Loved his latest trial and expect him to run a huge race. Think Cradle is clearly the best horse and just hoping his quality makes up for the lack of race fitness.
SUGGESTED BETTING: Despite my big opinion of this horse – can see it being a possible blower in the market because of his setup. Suggesting 5 Units Cradle Mountain @ $3.4 with Bet365 or Best Tote/SP
R6 #9 The Brown One – This 8yo mare is racing in good form at the moment and should appreciate the drop back to this grade. The rise to 1200m should see her getting a softer time of it upfront and can give a sight at generous odds. Scared of the first upper in Unbiased – 304 days off though with the apprentice aboard makes it hard to be confident – query runner.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 2 Units The Brown One @ $9 with Bet365 – Happy to take $8+. Cant knock saving on Unbiased.