THE PLAN: Armidale and Warren today. Solid enough meetings but not many great targets. Expecting it to be an advantage at both meetings to be on pace
R3 #2 Dominant Crown – Talented horse that has raced without much luck for most of its career. Caught wide and chasing last start – that took away its turn of foot – did a good job to hold on well for second. Looks to get a sit just behind the speed here and has a genuine turn of foot – very hard to hold out late.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 3.5 Units Dominant Crown @ $3.30 with Bet365 – Happy to take $3+
R4 #9 Wrongfully Wrong – #14 Peloso Lass – Solid enough maiden here but like the look of these two runners. Wrongfully Wrong had a torid run on debut – wide and chasing throughout in a fast run race and still strong late – up to 1100m looks suitable and the blinkers go on today – can improve nicely and harder to beat today. Peloso Lass was restrained out of the race on debut from a wide gate – super strong late there and travelled like a nice horse throughout – can settle closer this time and strong late again with natural improvement.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 3 Units Wrongfully Wrong @ $11 with Bet365 and most other corporates – happy to take $9+. 3 Units Peloso Lass @ $4.40 with Bet365 or Best Tote/SP.
R2 #1 Sudden Blitz – Value play here and hoping they push further forward. This horse put up a strong performance on debut for the new stable last time out. Plenty of improvement to come fitness wise and can go right on in this area if he stays sound. Main danger looks to be Cannon Run – who has been racing well in city grade of late – drops back to 1200m and hoping he gets a touch lost back in the pack. Moqwao the other interesting runner drawn wide in a race that looks to lack a natural leader.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 3 Units Sudden Blitz @ $4.50 with Bet365 – Happy to take $4+
Was set to tip #1 Wild Cavalier and #4 Austin in R6 but both prices have gone off.