R1 #2 Noble Truth ($4.50) – Horse I have a lot of time for resuming here a gelding. His form in his first preparation was far better than it reads. He will certainly improve with the run and is suited over further. But his class should carry him a long way in a race of this nature. The favourite Smooth Whiskey is well setup – but he is no world beater and if Noble gets a look at him straightening – should be hard to stop. Conservative betting due to his setup today and a touch of uncertainty – but the value is certainly there in his price.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 2 Units Noble Truth @ $9.00 with Bet365/Luxbet (Happy to take $7+)
R2 – No betting here but interesting in Zeppelin – should be suited by a solid tempo here. Behind the leader and hopefully chiming in turning. Can be suited out to the mile and run a race at odds. Extremely open race full of queries though – so staying out.
R3 #6 So Bizarre ($3.50) – #10 Ten Carat ($6.50) – Fitter for the first up effort in town when battling on solidly after having to work a bit early. All the better for that run – presses forward again and is clearly the horse to run down late. Ten Carat looks an improver – should cruise across into a more forward position today. Runs better than they look – peaking fitness wise and can improve. Siam the favourite is a talented type and is trialling well – just hoping he is a touch vulnerable first up at the 1200m against a couple of in form horses.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 4 Units So Bizarre at $4 with Bet365 or Best Tote/SP – 2 Units Ten Carat @ $10 with Bet365/$11 with Sportsbet.
R7 – Really does look a race that the progressive Groundbreak looks well placed in. Was all set to throw it in as a multi banker at $2.40. Into $2 staying out – but think it looks a fairly solid option as a skinny leg in the quaddie.