THE PLAN: Two meetings today at Tuncurry and Queanbeyan. Tuncurry looks the pick of the two from a betting perspective. Queanbeyan a couple of great races – but tough from the betting side.
R1 #2 Mister Smartee ($6) – Rubel ($3.25) – Thought the favourite Chalmers looked vulnerable here fresh over the 1200m. Trials OK – but not an easy task. Rubel has been knocking on the door – arguably should have won the last two starts – nearly went through the rail when shying two starts ago – should have led last start and wins comfortably. D Day for her this preparation here – draws ideally – hard fit and takes beating. Mister Smartee looks the knockout – has trialled up like a nice horse – 1200m may end up being a bit short for him – but the soft surface should help in that regard – can run very well on debut at odds. Aqua Chimera is the other threat that was close to a bet – just thought it might need one more run – has ability though and goes in quinellas.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 2 Units Mister Smartee @ $10 with Bet365 – 4 Units Rubel @ $3.90 with Bet365 – or Half Best Tote/SP – Half Fixed (Happy to take $3.80 or better)
R8 #5 I Can Hear Music ($3.50) – Have been waiting for this bloke to get out to this distance range since the first up win. He is low flying this time in for mine. Rounded them up fresh at Muswellbrook on a day that was hard to make ground. Then beat all but Knickas n a Twist 2nd up at Scone. Stayed at them same trip last time and against a slow tempo he closed behind three smart enough horses. Out to 1500m looks idea. He has solid form on rain effected ground and certainly looks the one to beat here at surprisingly good odds. Couldnt find a solid danger with great confidence – possibly Fastquest and Sniponet. The 27 days between runs the only negative I could find with I Can Hear Music.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 4 Units I Can Hear Music @ $7 with Bet365 (Happy to take $5+)