EXPECTED PATTERN: Some concern over the amount of water put on the track during the week. Hopefully, the surface dries out and it plays like it has recently. On pace, an advantage – with a bit of a tailwind also aiding them up the straight.
R1 #4 Our Mantra – Just have to have a small each way bet here – Our Mantra has the idea setup and looks to peak here – comes through a “dodgy” race on paper last start – but excuses there and have a feeling the track was pretty damp early in the day. Will need a touch of luck early but could easily take up a prominent position with the new rider aboard.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 1.5 Units EACH WAY Our Mantra @ $8.50/$2.4 with Bet365/TAB – Happy to take $7.50+
R4 #2 Red Knot – #3 Schedule – Looks a good two horse play here. Red Knot gets to the mile and control for the first time this preparation. Should give a bold sight from the front. Schedule the closer – primed to go third run back and ideally suited to the Randwick mile. Confidential goes in all exotics at odds.
SUGGESTED BETTING:2.5 Units Red Knot @ $13 with Sportsbet – happy to take $11+. 3.5 Units Schedule @ $4.80 with Bet365 – happy to take $4.60+ or Best of the Best.
R5 #1 Mighty Lucky – #5 Pajaro – #7 All Our Roads – Have tossed and turned over betting in this race. With Sir Plush taking up so much of the market and looking such a solid query – just have to take the gamble here. Extremely open race and have tried to identify the “best” value options. But there is not much between them here. Mighty Lucky has the ideal setup and draws the gate he like – ready to peak here and should get the suck run in behind. Pajaro really hit the line last start – gets a more genuine tempo here and can be strong again late from a soft gate. All Our Roads is the wild card – first start for the Waller stable – apprentice aboard – has trialled very well and looks a likely type to be hitting the line strongly fresh. Could entertain Duca Valentinois (wide gate drags him along way out of it?), Shillelagh (enigmatic, also awkwardly drawn) and Invinzabeel (another wide draw, could be the one to go forward?).
SUGGESTED BETTING: 2 Units Mighty Lucky at Best of the Best – 2 Units Pajaro @ $10 with Bet365 or Best of the Best – 2 Units All Our Roads @ $14 with Bet365 or Best of the Best.
Reserving judgement for the last few races – if there is a pattern emerging – may update things!
R3 #2 Perfect Style ($1.80) – This horse has had a few recent trials and just looks way too fast for these over the short course – looks to lead and dominate – it looks the only real danger to itself if it goes too keenly.
SUGGESTED BETTING: Use in Multi’s
R7 #1 Dylan’s Dynasty ($3.75) – Think this bloke is still on the up for the new stable and strikes a very suitable race peaking in fitness. Should find a prominent position early and can be extremely hard to beat from there. There are a few horses with upside engaged – but he looks to find a better position in run than them and should take plenty of running down.
SUGGESTED BETTING: Use in Multi
R8 #2 Foxy Housewife – #9 Nikkas’n’ a Twist – Foxy Housewife has some amazing form lines for a race of this nature. Conquered Test The World and running Invincible Gem to a neck both extremely good markers for this race. 1400m second up is the query! Draws to settle in a solid position and if fitness levels are high enough – she looks extremely well placed. Nikkas ‘n’ a Twist is the wildcard – looks to have good ability and right on the up – represents the value option in the race.
SUGGESTED BETTING: Use in Multi
Perfect Style / Dylans Dynasty – 2U
Perfect Style / Foxy Housewife – 3U
Perfect Style / Nikkas ‘n’ A Twist – 1U