THE PLAN – Two meetings in play today. Moree looks lottery central – very average cattle and cannot find anything that justifies playing. Mudgee a little more solid and a couple of plays that look worthwhile.
R2 – Early favourite Taking Liberties looks vulnerable at the 1200m here and there could be decent pressure early. Magic Archer is the interesting runner – currently $10 and can be suited back to 1200m and strong late – concern is the bandages on with the horse having tendon issues in the past – enough to stop betting with any confidence. Zioptimus the other runner with good upside here at around the $7.50 mark – rises from 1000m to 1200m quickly but should camp right behind the speed and can improve. Just a marginal race though.
R3 #2 Torio’s Delight ($3.50) – #4 Mar Nero ($3.50) – Torio’s Delight is racing well – box seats and is the horse to run down – is slightly suspect though at a strong 1400m so can be vulnerable late. Mar Nero looks the closer that has clearly the best turn of foot in this race and with even luck should be finishing all over the top of these. Has trialled very well on two occasions in preparation for this and happy to make Mar Nero the result here – saving on Torio’s Delight.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 4 Units Mar Nero @ $6 with Bet365 (Happy to take $4.50+) – Ideally want to back Mar Nero first here and wait for Torio’s Delight to get out to $3.50+. Happy to take $3+ though Torio’s.
R6 #1 A Magic Zariz ($3.25) – #4 Pippi’s Pride ($11) – This will be the first time I can remember ever backing Chelsea Ing’s on a horse – but she handled this bloke particularly well last start and he looks well placed again. There looks certain strong pressure here and that should play into the hands of A Magic Zariz – he is dropping back from the 1600m and has a nice turn of foot – he will be strong late. Tossed up strongly with the idea of saving on Dreadlock – he looks the strongest of the on pacers – just hoping he takes part in the speed battle and is one paced late. Pippi’s Pride is the knockout at odds – very good return over the 1000m first up – quickly to 1400m here is a query – but pace on suits and she can surprise at odds.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 4.5 Units A Magic Zariz @ $4.80 with Bet365 (Happy to take $4+) – 1 Unit Pippi’s Pride @ $26 (Happy to take $16+)
R6 – Just the one race even worth mentioning here today. Blinkin Fast completely bungled the start first up over the 1000m and worked to the line quite well – he is far more effective type up on the speed and should be able to get there today from the wider gate out to 1200m. Slight query on the fitness jumping from the 1000m to the 1200m and slight query on the dodgy start. Enough to stop me suggesting a bet at the current price ($3.80 odd). Was hoping for $5+ – but it is certainly a very winnable race.