EXPECTED PATTERN: Rail +3m and a Good 3. 36 degrees predicted and just has to be a fast track yet again. Those up on speed should be suited and rails trail ideal for those looking to make ground. Difficult to come from back and wide.
R3 #6 Only Choice – #7 Bonsley – Just have to bet around this now odds on favourite Don’t Give A Damn – doing a great job so far – but further into his prep and up to this distance – has to be a touch vulnerable. Only Choice a horse I have time for – wish he had one more run under the belt – still expect him to have come right on from the first up effort and runs well. Bonsley the other im keen can improve – looks a tough bugger than should get a much softer time of it on pace this time and kicks on well. Apocalyptic Fun was borderline here – just think may have to do a touch to much work and lacks the gear change.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 2 Units Only Choice @ $8 with Centrebet or $7.50 with Bet365 (Happy to take $7+ or Best of the Best) – 2 Units Bonsley @ $13 with Centrebet (Happy to take $11 with Bet365 or Best of the Best)
R5 #4 Euro Angel – #11 Imposing Lass – Like this two horse play here – Imposing Lass out front and making her own luck – will try to take advantage of the fast track and give them something to chase. Euro Angel the closer that is flying at present and suited by a solid tempo.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 3 Units Euro Angel @ $6 with Sportsbet/UBET (Happy to take $5.50 with Bet365 or Best of the Best) – 2.5 Units Imposing Lass at Best of the Best or Top Fluctuation if unavailable.
R9 #3 Hogmanay – #4 Sir Plush – #10 Impavido – Three horse play this time – all at odds. Hogmanay is hit and miss at the start – rolls forward if jumps and can improve sharply. Sir Plush looks certain to get a soft time on speed – has the turn of foot to capitalise on that position. Impavido is the wildcard first up – could blow these away if in the mood fresh.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 2 Units Hogmanay @ $11 with Bet365 (Happy to take $11 or Best of the best) – 2 Units Sir Plush @ $10 with UBET (Happy to take $10 or Best of the Best) – 2 Units Impavido @ $11 with Lux/TAB/UBET (Happy to take $11 or Best of the Best)
R8 #8 College Romance – One more chance for this horse at huge odds here. Finds a very winnable race – jarred up last start and can improve significantly.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 0.5 Units Win College Romance @ $41 win with Bet365 (Happy to take $31+ or Best Tote/SP) – 1.5 Units Place College Romance @ $8.50 place with Bet365 – $8 with Sportsbet (happy to take $6.50+)
R7 #6 Stampede – Just want to make sure leading is OK at Caulfield today. If the green light is given with strong winds and other factors in play. Will be happy to back this horse again. He is an on pace machine on his way to the major cups and will give a huge sight here.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 3.5 Units Stampede at Best of the Best – ONLY IF CONFIRMED