CANTERBURY EXPECTED PATTERN: Rail +3m and a Good 3/4 surface. Will be an advantage to be on speed. But where tempo allows – should be possible to run on. Saving ground turning and into the straight an advantage.
THE DAY: A pretty quiet day – betting opportunities early and late.
FULL SHEETS: Unfortunately data stream expired for full sheets without my knowledge – so no full sheets today, unfortunately. Will return to normal on Saturday. No prices for races 3 and 4 as they are just impossible.
R1 #1 Faeger – #5 Lightz – Think Lightz is a strong improver here – has been a bit of a professional trialler to this point – has been in some very tough races though and this looks his best chance to date to break through. Should kick through for a comfortable lead here – gives a very strong sight. Faeger is hard fit – blinkers go on and hoping they decide to roll forward here – from outside the leader he looks the clear danger.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 3.5 Units Lightz @ $5.50 with Bet365 (Happy to take $4.80+) – 1.5 Units Faeger @ Top Fluctuation.
R5 #1 Virgilio – #11 Midnight Delight – Really like the prospects of this mMidnight Delightare here – clearly the horse on the up in this race – comes off a very strong maiden win in good time and will be strong late over the 1550m. Virgilio looks value if he presses forward early looks the horse to catch back to this grade now that he is hard fit.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 1.5 Units Virgilio 2 $16 with Luxbet (Happy to take $12+) – 4.5 Units Midnight Delight @ $5 with Bet365 (Happy to take $4.20+)
R6 #9 Cannon Run – Malahat clearly the horse to beat here but outside of him the race looks extremely open. Gauguin resumes for the new stable – has to be a query runner. Rockafella can improve off the first up effort. The rest look very evenly matched. Cannon Run resumes off a couple of nice trials – draws to need luck in running – if he gets any he can be strong to the line here at big odds.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 1 Unit Win @ $31 with Bet365 (Happy to take $21+) – 3 Units Place @ $5.50 with most corporates (Happy to take $4.60+)