CANTERBURY EXPECTED PATTERN: Rail back to the True position here and that usually means the fence will be the place to be. Leader, behind leader and one out one back the positions of prominence. Certainly setting up for the track to play in this fashion.
There are strong wind gusts predicted – so will keep an eye on conditions – behind leader – one out with cover could be even better positions than first thought.
R2 #4 Schubert – #5 Solar Patch – A solid two horse play for mine. Schubert has the solid grounding to push forward here and race well. Dominant first up in easier grade – chased a couple of smart horses home last time with a bit against – trialled well since to keep him up to the mark. Solar Path the wildcard – his two runs back from a break have been monsters – could just be better than these. Very hard to beat.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 2 Units Schubert @ $4.80 with Bet365 (Happy to take $4+) – 4 Units Solar Patch @ $4.20 with TAB/Crownbet (Happy to take $4 with Bet365 preferably)
R3 #2 No Pushover – #5 Up’n’Rolling – This mare has returned in flying form for the Luke Pepper yard – on pace and strong to the line at both runs back – can control the tempo again here and the one to run down. Up’n’Rolling needs luck from the gate – if he gets it can be strong to the line fresh.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 3.5 Units No Pushover @ $4.80 with TAB/Luxbet/Unibet/Crownbet (Happy to take $4.60 with Bet365. 2 Units Up’n’Rolling at Best Fluctuation
R4 #1 Irithea – Mare on the up that has come back to racing with two identical wins – lead – control and accelerate. Can see that happening again here – if not behind the speed and accelerating – ideally placed with the claim and hard to beat.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 4 Units Irithea @ $4.4 with Bet365 (Happy to take $4+)
R5 #1 Lubiton – Very smart mare returning from a spell – only need to begin cleanly to lead/leaders back here and takes a world of beating from that position. She is better than these and only needs even luck to prove too strong. The one query is the leaders stopping in her face and a horse like Parlay Vous having momentum on her. But willing to take that chance today.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 5 Units Lubiton @ $2.80 with Bet365 – Happy to take $2.60 + but ideally want that SP Guarantee