EXPECTED TRACK PATTERN
Rail back to the True position and expecting a Heavy 8. Last few times this setup has occurred the fence and on pace have been an advantage. Certainly going to keep a close eye on things early in the day and adapting where necessary.
GAME PLAN: Not only do we face a soft Randwick surface (likely to play in the Heavy 8 range) but also strong winds are now predicted from the North West.
Having an early multi with three horses that look suited by the potential on pace/fence bias that has been in effect lately with this setup. There is risk/reward attached to this early play.
The early play for Race 9 – looks solid regardless of pattern. All runners are adaptable and look to find strong challenging positions to suit any pattern.
Will watch the first couple (hopefully goes to plan) and provide any updates as required!
Race 1 Tips & Bet Suggestions
R1 #4 Addictive Nature – Huge opinion of this bloke and if he gets conditions to suit here (looks likely) he will give a heck of a sight from the front. Certainly scared of Brave Song – he should be giving a start and even though its a small field – backing Addictive Nature to be the better horse regardless.
Suggested Betting – Use in Multi @ $2.20+
Race 2 Tips & Bet Suggestions
R2 #4 Long Time Ago – Think this mare can win the battle for the front early here – Brown not a noted front running jockey and after the trainwreck of last week – Gai will want hers on the bunny. The step up to 1800m looks fine and she is clearly the horse to run down. La Bella Chica hopefully sits off her and they control the race. Hard to beat.
Suggested Betting – Use Long Time Ago in Multi @ Top Fluctuation (Best of the Best if possible)
Race 4 Tips & Bet Suggestions
R4 #4 Gitan – With the scratching of Super Star Bob, Gitan looks extremely hard to beat now. Should find the lead and control of the race – kicks and gives a huge sight back to this grade. The two that beat him home last start in midweek city grade would be short priced favourites here and he has trialled up well since that run. Favourite Care To Think is racing well – but looks very likely to give a big start away and faces a huge task away from home.
Suggested Betting – Use in Multi @ $4.40 ….. + 2 Units Gitan @ $4.80 with Bet365 (Price most likely to go off if Addictive Nature happens to have lost)
Race 9 Tips & Bet Suggestions
R9 #5 Last Witness – #6 Mana – #9 Boleron King – Clipper a late scratching certainly a shame here – large deduction for what looked a solid risk but there still looks value in the race with solid queries over the form of Spending To Win, Kings Of Leon and even Argent D’Or here. Last Witness all but beat King Of Leon last time out – draws ideally again for the trail he likes and wet is certainly a positive for him – looks strong value. Mana is hard fit, handles the conditions and is airborne – another that looks strong value. Bolero King was flying prior to last start when held up hopelessly throughout – rider change looks positive and he too gets the right on pace run here. Looks a good betting race.
Suggested Betting – 2.5 Units Last Witness @ $15 with UBET (Happy to take $12+ – Currently $13 with all other corporates) – 2.5 Units @ $8.50 with Bet365 (Happy to take $7+ – $8+ currently with all other corporates) – 1 Unit Mana @ $14 with UBET (Happy to take $12 plus – if not take Best of the Best)
Addictive Nature / Long Time Ago – 2.5
Addictive Nature / Gitan – 2.5U
Addictive Nature / Long Time Ago / Gitan – 1U