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Murwillumbah

THE PLAN – Want to see the pattern at Murwillumbah before committing to more than the one early play.

 

Race 1 Bet Suggestion One

R1 – Bit of a strange one here – but just have to bet around the early favourite Call The Coppers. He is a grade 5 roarer – which means he has terrible breathing issues. This has been addressed by the Dunn stable by having a tie back operation performed. This operation is fairly successful – but impossible to gauge its effectiveness until after the horse has been put under race day pressure. He was a late scratching on Monday due to coughing in the day stalls. Another warning sign for mine. He draws the widest gate here with horses capable of kicking up underneath him into the first turn and making him work – the opposition are far from legless and for him to be $1.35 currently – just have to be around him. So going to present two options. Lay him on Betfair or if that is not your cup of tea – bet around him.

SUGGESTED BETTING: Lay Call The Coppers to lose 4 Units (Maximum price $1.70)

Race 1 Bet Suggestion Two

R1 #3 Nobby’s Gift – #5 Conspicuous – #10 Torre Saracino – Nobby’s Gift ran two solid races before a poor ride last time out and never in the hunt. Can improve significantly with a positive ride here at big odds. Conspicuous is on debut for the Lockwood yard – very solid trial leading into this – second horse from that trial has since run well over 1400m – has good speed and should run well.  Torre Saracino trialled up well prior to resuming – given no winning chance there when restrained out of the race early – you would imagine he gives a start again here – but can be very strong late.

SUGGESTED BETTING: 1 Unit Nobby’s Gift @ $21 with Bet365/Sporstbet (Happy to take $16+) – 3 Units Conspicuous @ $6.50 with Bet365 (Happy to take $5.50+) –  2 Units Torre Saracino @ $8 with Bet365 (Happy to take $7+)