THE PLAN – Two decent meetings today at Dubbo and Coffs Harbour. The robot prices are already going haywire this morning with some crazy price changes.
R1 #7 Basirah ($4) – #16 Darpra ($6) – A bunch of very limited maidens here. Basirah has had four starts for Peter Stanley and looks a much-improved horse. Two starts back she was given little hope and got home nicely late. Ridden positively last time out to the mile and had full control of the race until tiring badly the last 150m. Better again for that run and back to 1400m look strong positives for her here – the one to run down. Darpra the other improver – two starts for Dar Lunn off a lengthy spell – good fresh over the 1100m when in behind the speed and boxing on solidly – out to 1200m second up and a very strange ride – gave away a huge start on a leader fence biased track and ran very well. Draws the fence here on the seven day back up – up to 1400m and can hold a much more forward position this time.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 2.5 Units Basirah @ $6.50 with Bet 365 (Happy to take $5+) – 2.5 Units Darpra @ $12 with Bet365 (Happy to take $8+)
R5 #3 Magic Over The Bay ($2.75) – Unfortunately the robots have gone nuts over this horse – doubt they have written a bet – but it is $5.5 into $2.25. Certainly, keen on its chances today – but not taking those odds. If it gets back out to reasonable odds – will be happy to play. Taken to the worst part of the track last start over the 1600m – inside gate and back to 1400m here – only needs even luck in what looks a fast run race to be finishing over them late.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 4 Units Magic Over the Bay if gets to $3.25+ in the betting.
R7 #2 Northern Knight ($4) – #6 Princess Lottie ($2.50) – This filly continues to fly under the radar and finds another very suitable race. Drawn ideally with her natural pace – she has yet to be really tested this preparation and 1200m looks ideal at this time – she will take holding out here. Northern Knight is unbeaten and promising also – he looks the logical threat to Princess Lottie and simply due to his untapped potential – has to be saved on.
SUGGESTED BETTING: 1.5 Units Northern Knight at Best Tote/SP / 4.5 Units Princess Lottie @ $3.80 with Bet365 (Happy to take $3.50+)